Arsenal vs Chelsea betting Preview

by ryan

Arsenal : Form: D W W W D D

After two goalless draws in the first two games, Arsenal have steadily improved and remain unbeaten in the League this season.

Their latest result, a 1-1 draw with Manchester City will be seen by the fans as a great result and their approach to the game will have been just as satisfying. Despite playing away to the league champions, they managed to have 59% of the possession and created several chances, most notablythrough Gervinho, to win the game.

In the league, Arsenal games have been relatively low scoring with only one of their five games surpassing the 2.5 goal mark; this, combined with the fact that Arsenal have only conceded two goals this season, suggests that new defensive coach Steve Bould has had the positive influence Arsene Wenger desired.

These two goals have both come in the 31-45 minute time period and so this could be a good time to go for a first goal bet.

After failing to score in the opening two fixtures, Arsenal scored eleven in their next four games in all competitions. This seems a lot, but in reality it is a quite distorted set of data due to the demolition of Southampton 6-1.

Podolski and Gervinho both have two goals each in the league and Podolski, who is forming a formidable partnership with midfielder SantiCazorla, will most likely be the main goal threat for arsenal.

Chelsea : Form: W D D L W W

Chelsea currently sit in first place in the Premier League but, up until this fixture, they haven’t really been up against any quality opposition in the English top flight. After a fairly strong start, results have been unconvincing of late with a 0-0 draw at Loftus Road, a 2-2 draw against Juventus(after leading 2-0) and, most recently, an unspectacular 1-0 win over Stoke at Stamford Bridge.

Their most recent win was somewhat of a reverse in styles from watching Chelsea’s successful European campaign last year; they were the team with playing with style and panache and looked to attack a team quite content to defend for 90 minutes with the hope of stealing a goal on the counter attack.

Only one game that Chelsea have played in has gone over the 2.5 goals mark and this was against a Reading team who have only managed to gain one point from their four games so far. Most of the action seems to come in the second half of games, with three of the five games so far having over 1.5 goals in the second 45 minutes. Torres, Ivanovic and Lampard are Chelsea’s three top scorers in the league this season, each with two goals.

The form and performances of Torres is always analysed in depth due to his huge £50 million transfer and, whilst he has showed a notable improvement this season, he has often gone missing in the bigger games, as shown in last week’s Champions League fixture against Juventus where he struggled to make any notable impact.

One player that did impress in that fixture was Oscar; having shined with a brilliant goal from range, he continued in similar fashion against Stoke at the weekend with a series of efforts on goal and was unfortunate to not get on the score sheet.

Betting Preview

Both teams are unbeaten in the league this season and this looks set to continue on Saturday with a draw seeming the most likely outcome. Whilst both are capable of playing the open, free-flowing, attacking football that most fans love to watch, if recent form is to go by, it should be a slightly tighter affair and will most likely result in a draw.

However, this fixture can be particularly unpredictable, as shown by the 5-3 triumph for Arsenal at Stamford Bridge and the 0-0 in the reverse fixture later in the season. It is worth noting that the tactics of Chelsea have been changed several times both in between and since these fixtures.

The 5-3 result occurred under the failed revolution of Andre Villas Boas with his notorious high defensive line, and by the time they came round to play each other again, Di Matteo was in charge and tasked with saving Chelsea’s season reverting to the defensive philosophy; hence the 0-0.

It may be worth looking at Ivanovic in the goal market as he will be a threat at set pieces, an area that Man City highlighted as a defensive weakness for Arsenal.

In terms of Arsenal, Podolski will be their biggest threat and a bet on him to be first scorer or a bet on a Cazorla to get an assist may provide a decent return. The stats suggest that this should be a fairly low scoring game but both teams are likely to get on the scoresheet; this highlights the possibility of a 1-1 draw being played out.

Highlighted bets

Podolski First Goal Scorer, 6-1, with Stan James

Ivanovic anytime, 12/1, with Paddy Power

Under 2.5 goals, 24/23 with Betfair

Full time result 1-1, 11/2 with Bet365

Article by Ryan Moore

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Ryan focuses on EPL’s best betting matches and provides match analysis, previews and betting tips for English Premier League matches. Read more of his previews at

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