Colorado vs UNLV Picks, Spread, and Review

Colorado (23-11 SU/16-14 ATS) swept through the Pac-12 Tournament with wins over Utah (53-41), Oregon (63-62), Cal (70-59) and Arizona (53-51) to get the automatic bid in its inaugural season in the Pac-12 Conference.

The Buffaloes have a balanced scoring attack but they lack a prolific scorer. Carlon Brown (12.6 ppg), Andre Roberson (11.6 ppg), Austin Dufault (10.9 ppg) and Spencer Dinwiddie (10.2 ppg) are all integral to the team’s success, while Askia Booker (8.37 ppg) provides a spark off the bench, making it difficult for a defense to key on any one player on offense.

Roberson leads the team on the glass with 11.2 rpg, which ranks 5th in the nation. CU’s numbers didn’t exactly impress, as it ranked ninth in the Pac-12 in scoring (68.1 ppg) and eighth in field goal percentage (.445), though it is able to make up for some of its deficiencies by holding a +3.8 rebounding margin.

UNLV (26-8 SU/12-18 ATS) went undefeated at home (17-0) in 2011-12, but they lost to New Mexico on their home court in the semifinals of the Mountain West Conference Tournament.

Mike Moser led the team in both scoring (14.1 ppg) and rebounding (10.6 rpg) and was named to the MWC First team. Chace Stanback (12.7 ppg) and Anthony Marshall (12.1 ppg) have also been key contributors, the former shooting 74-of-159 (.465) beyond the arc and the latter chipping in with 5.1 rpg and placing second in assists with 148.

Outscoring the competition by an average of 11.4 ppg on the season, the Rebels have returned to the glory days of run-and-gun basketball, but some opponents have been able to figure them out and slow the tempo, but that isn’t likely happen in this one as Colorado will run it.

If Moser plays up to his potential he can be a dominant force that can take the Rebels far into the NCAA Tournament.

Colorado is 8-2 ATS in neutral site games and 13-6 ATS as an underdog, including 8-3 ATS as a dog of +6½ points or less. On the other hand, UNLV is 2-8 ATS lately against winning teams and 11-15 ATS as a favorite, although the Rebs have fared decently on a neutral court, going 17-11 ATS.

That aside, this is a good opponent for UNLV as they match up well against the Buffaloes and they are familiar with the venue as they play in The Pit every season.

UNLV should advance to the next round with a solid win and cover.

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