Long Beach State Vs New Mexico Picks, Spread, and Review


Long Beach State (25-8 SU/18-13 ATS) finished the year as the regular season Big West Conference champions after posting a 15-1 mark in league play and they also swept through the conference tournament with wins over UC Davis (80-46), UC-Irvine (68-57) and Cal-Santa Barbara (77-64) to capture the Big West Conference’s automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.

The 49ers are a very experienced team with four starters back from last year’s 22-12 team that had to settle for the NIT, where they were promptly ousted in the first round against Washington State.

The 49ers average 74 ppg on an impressive 46.9 team shooting percentage (#40), and as a result boast three players with a double-digit scoring average. Casper Ware, who was named the Big West Conference Player of the Year, leads 49ers in scoring with a 17.4 ppg. Larry Anderson checks in at 14.0 ppg and 5.0 rpg, while T.J.

Robinson rounds out the trio with 12.0 points to go with a team-leading 10.1 rebounds per contest. LBSU limits opponents to just 63.6 ppg on just 41.9 percent shooting. The 49ers own a slight 35.5 to 33.2 rebounding edge as well, and force an average of 14.9 turnovers per game.

Long Beach State played a tough non-conference schedule, facing the likes of Pittsburgh (86-76 win), San Diego State (77-73 OT loss), Louisville (79-66 loss), Kansas (88-80 loss), North Carolina (84-78 loss), Xavier (68-58 win), Kansas State (77-60 loss) and Creighton, an 81-79 road loss in a Bracket Buster matchup in February.

New Mexico (27-6 SU/22-8 ATS) won the Mountain West Conference Tournament with wins over Air Force (79-64), UNLV (72-67) and San Diego State (68-59) and captured the automatic bid to the NCAA Tourney, although they would have likely been selected to the Big Dance either way.

Drew Gordon averaged a double-double this season with 13.4 ppg and 10.9 rpg, while Kendall Williams (12.0 ppg) and Tony Snell (11.0 ppg) are also in double figures, helping the Lobos outscore MWC foes by 14.2 ppg this year. Overall this season the Lobos outscored the competition by an average of 14.6 ppg and outrebound opponents by a 6.7 rpg advantage as well.

The Lobos were nationally-ranked as recently as a few weeks ago, but back-to-back losses to Colorado State and TCU knocked them out of the rankings. However, they have won five straight since then and made it back into the Top-25 (# 21) following their run in the MWC Conference Tournament.

New Mexico is 21-5 ATS as a favorite and 9-1 ATS against non-conference foes, as well as 8-2 ATS as a favorite of -6½ points or less. They were one of the top ATS teams in the nation this year (22-8 ATS), but it should be noted the program has not fared well in the NCAA Tournament, going 2-5 ATS.

Long Beach state comes in 22-14 ATS as an underdog and they are also 7-3 ATS in non-conference games.

Additionally, the 49ers are 25-16 ATS in neutral site games and their tough non-conference slate early on will have them well-prepared for this one.

Take the dog.

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