2012 Big 12 Champion Futures Odds & Picks

by Scott

In the past couple years there has been a lot of realignment in the Big 12 Conference. There are now ten teams in the Big 12 and that includes two new teams making their debut in the Big 12 this season. TCU and West Virginia are both in the conference now, which is a great addition for the Big 12 Conference.

2012 Big 12 Conference Champion Futures Betting Odds

There are no divisions in the Big 12, so the only futures bet to wager on is the Big 12 Champion. 5Dimes has posted odds on every team in the Big 12 to win the championship this season. With several teams having a great shot at winning the Big 12 title we’re going to analyze some of the key losses and additions made by the top teams.

TeamOdds
Oklahoma+120
Texas+500
West Virginia+500
Oklahoma State +800
TCU +950
Kansas State+2200
Texas Tech+3300
Baylor+6000
Iowa State+8500
Kansas+17500

2012 Big 12 Champion Betting Analysis

  • Oklahoma Sooners +120 (Last Season 10-3 Overall & 6-3 in Conference)

Oklahoma finished in 4th place in the Big 12 last season and they took a lot of criticism. Once Landry Jones announced that he is going to play his senior year at Oklahoma instead of going into the draft the Sooners were instilled as favourites. In 2011 Jones put up monster numbers including a 63.2% completion rate (355/562), 4463 passing yards and 29 TD’s.

The offence should be great with the only question marks at receiver now that Ryan Broyles is in the NFL. Whaley ran the ball well in 2011 and he’s back plus I was impressed with Blake Bell’s 13 rushing TD’s. The big problem was on defence in 2011, but Mike Stoops is back in town and I think he’ll light a fire under the Sooners defence this season.

Landry Jones wants one thing and that’s a National Championship before heading off to the NFL. I don’t think Oklahoma is a NC contender this season, but I do have them pegged to dominate in the Big 12. Oklahoma averaged 349.4 PYPG (5th), 162.9 RYPG (50th) and 39.5 PPG (10th) in 2011 and it wouldn’t shock me if the Sooners were even better in 2012.

  • Texas Longhorns +500 (Last Season 8-5 Overall & 4-5 in Conference)

Texas is only paying +500 and while I like this team I don’t think they’re better than Oklahoma. Texas has a lot of starters coming back in 2012, but the team is still relatively young and there is a huge question mark at QB. David Ash appears to be the starter at the moment, but there has been some pressure put on him this spring by Case McCoy.

The Longhorns should be in the T3 in the Big 12, which is an improvement from their poor 6th place finish in 2011. Texas was 11th in overall defence in 2011 and they may be even better this year with another year under their belt. While the Longhorns have one of the best defences in the nation their offence is reliant on the running too much to win the Big 12.

  • West Virginia +500 (Last Season 10-3 Overall & 5-2 in Conference – Big East)

West Virginia is one of the newcomers to the Big 12 and they’re already a favourite to win the Big 12 title. The Mountaineers are no doubt going to be one of the best offensive powerhouses in the nation, but their defence is pretty bad. WVU scored 37.6 PPG on average (13th) in 2011, but the teams also allowed 26.8 PPG (61st) and their schedule wasn’t overly tough.

Big 12 teams are going to target QB Geno Smith throughout the entire season and the pressure will be on him and the offensive line in 2012. WVU will have a few exciting games where they light up the scoreboards, but consistently will prove a problem in their 1st season of Big 12 football and I have WVU finishing in 3rd or 4th place.

  • Oklahoma State +800 (Last Season 12-1 Overall & 8-1 in Conference – Won Big 12)

The Cowboys won the Big 12 last season and played remarkably well, but don’t expect the same in 2012. QB Weeden was a huge part of the Cowboys success and now that he’s in the NFL this year may be tough. It appears that freshman Wes Lunt will earn the starting QB duties this season and while he’s a good passer, he’s going to need some time to develop.

Oklahoma State will be able to rely on their running attack on offence, but once teams start stuffing the box the pressure will be put squarely on Lunt to perform. RB Randle rushed for 1193 yards and 23 TD’s while Smith rushed for 645 yards and 9 TD’s in 2011. The defence is also a problem for the Cowboys who ranked 107th in the nation last year.

Other Teams That May Surprise Bettors in the Big 12

TCU is the one team that may be able to surprise a few teams, but I question whether or not this team is going to be able to handle the tough conference schedule in the Big 12 in their 1st season. TCU has a great offence and the defence should also be improved, but at the same time it’s hard to predict how they’ll react against a much tough conference schedule.

The other five teams in the Big 12 all finished with a conference record of less than .500 in 2011. A few of these teams should be improved, but none of them have made enough changes to compete with the top 2-3 teams in the Big 12. As long as Oklahoma can shore up their defence a bit and continue putting up points I don’t see any team beating them for the Big 12 title.

2012 Big 12 Champion Futures Predictions

  • Oklahoma Sooners to win Big 12 at +120 odds
About The Author

has written 185 awesome posts on tipsandpicks.com.

Scott primarily focuses on the US sports at Tips and Picks and he spends most of his time analyzing the betting markets to ensure bettors always get the best odds

Previous post:

Next post: