2012 College Football Odds: Week 10 Previews & Picks

by Scott

My college football predictions only went 2-4 last week. A few of the games I got burned on due to injuries, but that’s no excuse and I’ll be looking to bounce back this week with a much bettor record. I’ll be sticking to the most popular games this week like usual and I’ve posted my best bets for those games below. This week there are some huge games including Alabama vs. LSU.

Best Bets for Week 10 of the College Football Season

Missouri +16 (-110) vs. Florida -16 (-110) – Pick: Missouri +16

Florida lost last week to Georgia on the road (17-9), as they couldn’t get their offence going. They’re now 7-1, but with the loss to the Bulldogs they may lose the SEC championship. Florida knows they need to win out at the very least now and that still might not even be enough. At home the Gators have been tough and they already have home wins against LSU and South Carolina.

Mizzou moved to 4-4 last week and got their 1st win in the SEC, as they blew out Kentucky. Mizzou lost by 21 points this season to South Carolina and Georgia, but I feel this point spread is too big. Who knows how the Gators will come out this week after they lost their 1st game of the season. Winning by 16 points in the SEC isn’t easy and I’m betting on the underdog.

Texas +7 (-110) vs. Texas Tech -7 (-110) – Pick: Texas +7

Texas Tech and Texas are both 6-2 with a 3-2 record in Big 12 conference play. This is a huge game for both of these teams and I think we’re going to see a close battle right to the very end. Getting +7 on the Longhorns is a great bet and I’d be surprised if the point spread doesn’t drop below a full TD before Saturday. Texas is already 3-0 on the road with a big win against OSU.

The Longhorns will need their 32nd ranked rushing attack (197.9 RYPG) to match their season average at the very least. Texas will need long sustained drives to keep the potent Texas Tech passing attack off the field (357.9 PYPG – 3rd). Both teams can score in bunches, but the Longhorns defence has been giving up too many points. They’ll need a couple big stops in order to cover ATS.

Nebraska +1.5 (-110) vs. Michigan State -1.5 (-110) – Pick: Nebraska +1.5

Nebraska is 6-2 with a 3-1 record in the Big Ten while the Spartans are 5-4 with a 2-3 record in the Big Ten. MSU managed to pull off a 16-13 win in OT on the road last week against the Badgers, which snapped their 2-game losing streak. Nebraska won 23-9 at home against Michigan this past week and is now riding a 2-game win streak, as they beat Northwestern (29-28) in week 8.

The Spartans defence has been strong this season, but the offence has been lagging behind. MSU is unable to generate scoring opportunities consistently and they move the football down the field in small chunks. Nebraska ranks 18th in points score with an average of 39.3 PPG and they rank 7th in the nation in rushing with 264.1 RYPG. I think the wrong team is favoured in this game.

Oregon -7.5 (-110) vs. USC +7.5 (-110) – Pick: USC +7.5

USC played pretty badly this past week and lost on the road against Arizona (39-36) and they lost their 2nd game this year. At the start of the year this game was supposed to have NC implications for both teams. Oregon has lived up to expectations and they currently have a perfect 8-0 record including 5-0 in the Pac-12. The Ducks have been blowing teams out of the water this year.

The reason I’m betting on USC at home is because this is their NC game at this point in the season. They’ll get into a good bowl game, but I expect them to give it everything they have in this game to beat Oregon and ruin their perfect record. They may not be able to win, but I expect the offence to keep them in the game and getting over a TD seems a tad high.

Oklahoma State +9.5 (-110) vs. Kansas State -9.5 (-110) – Pick: Kansas State -9.5

KSU is still rolling along and absolutely dominating teams right now. KSU just beat Texas Tech 55-24 this week and prior to that they had just beat WVU 55-14. It’s hard to bet on a favourite this big when two good teams are playing each other, but KSU has been dominate at home and they should be able to cover the spread if they continue playing like they’ve played all season.

Kansas State has been getting it done on offence and defence. They rank 5th in points scored (44.4 PPG) and rank 13th in points against (17.1 PPG). Stopping the Cowboys on offence will be tough, as they rank 6th in points scored (44.3 PPG). They can throw the football and run the football, which is always dangerous. There defence is poor though and I think KSU can win by 10+ pts.

Alabama -10 vs. LSU +10 – Pick: LSU +10

Alabama is a perfect 8-0 and they’re the #1 team in the nation. LSU is 7-1 and ranked #5 in the country right now, but with a win over Alabama at home they could move themselves up the rankings even more. LSU has been in a lot of close games this year because their offence hasn’t been productive except against cupcake opponents. That won’t change this weekend.

LSU isn’t going to be able score much against Alabama, but their defence will be able to keep them in the game. LSU only gives up an average of 14.6 PPG and they have the 25th ranked rushing attack (208.4 PYPG). Alabama hasn’t been tested by a top team yet and -10 seems too much to cover on the road against the Tigers. I’m taking the +10 points in what should be a close game.

About The Author

has written 63 awesome posts on tipsandpicks.com.

Scott primarily focuses on the US sports at Tips and Picks and he spends most of his time analyzing the betting markets to ensure bettors always get the best odds