2012 NFL Rookie of the Year Predictions

by Scott

Betting on the Rookie of the Year has grown in popularity in recent years due to the number of NFL ready rookies being drafted from college football. In this article we’re going to preview the 2012 NFL Offensive ROY and 2012 NFL Defensive ROY markets to help bettors narrow down the best contenders to win each of the awards at the end of the NFL season.

2012 NFL Rookie of the Year Futures Odds

The odds in this article are provided by BetOnline, as they’re one of the only bookmakers with odds for this futures market. This season BetOnline has posted a lot of NFL season long player futures odds. After the table of odds we’ll get into our preview and predictions as well as some trends that you should be aware of when betting into this futures market.

2012 NFL Offensive ROY Preview

PlayerOdds
AJ Jenkins+2000
Alshon Jeffery+2000
Andrew Luck+250
Brandon Weeden+650
Brian Quick+2200
Coby Fleener+1500
David Wilson+1000
Doug Martin+1000
Justin Blackmon+650
Kendall Wright+2000
LaMichael James+2000
Michael Floyd+1300
Robert Griffin III+600
Rueben Randle+1500
Ryan Broyles+2000
Ryan Tannehill+1000
Stephen Hill+1800
Trent Richardson+500
Field+800

Looking back at the past 12 seasons (Since 2000) there has been 5 QB’s, 2 WR’s and 5 RB’s to win the NFL Offensive ROY award. In the past few seasons rookie RB’s have struggled, as the last RB to win the ROY was Adrian Peterson in 2007. In the past two seasons QB’s have won the award with Sam Bradford winning in 2010 and Cam Newton winning last year in 2011.

Andrew Luck +250: The favourite to win the 2012 NFL Offensive ROY award is Andrew Luck. Luck was drafted by the Colts to be the franchise QB in Indianapolis and he should excel. Luck ran a pro-style offence at Stanford and in his 1st preseason action last week he looked impressive. One problem with betting on Luck is that he’s on the Colts who have limited offensive firepower.

Robert Griffin III +600: RG3 made his Redskins debut in week 1 of the preseason. His 1st two drives were brutal, but on his final drive he moved the ball downfield and threw a TD pass to newly acquired WR Pierre Garcon. RG3 could be the next Newton in his rookie campaign and at +600 he’ll be receiving a lot of attention in the next couple weeks.

Brandon Weeden +650: The Browns drafted Weeden, as McCoy hasn’t been working out in Cleveland. Weeden looked pretty bad in his 1st start, as he threw 1 INT and had 1 questionable fumble as well. Weeden isn’t quite ready to put up big numbers in the NFL and I would avoid betting Weeden. He may not even start the season if he continues throwing duds in preseason.

Trent Richardson +500: I was favouring Richardson to win the 2012 NFL Offensive ROY title, but not anymore. Trent just had to have knee surgery again (2nd time in past year). This knee injury isn’t expected to be a problem for too long, but he may be very limited in production early in the season. Richardson has the tools to be a powerhouse RB in the NFL, but his knee scares me.

The two WR’s projected to be the most productive in 2012 are Justin Blackmon (+650) and Michael Floyd (+1300). Blackmon has already been arrested for DUI this summer and was the last rookie to sign with his team. There is also no QB in Jacksonville and I don’t think Blackmon will contend for the ROY. Floyd has a shot, but lining up next to Fitzgerald will limit his production in 2012.

  • 2012 NFL Offensive ROY Winner: Robert Griffin III +600

2012 NFL Defensive ROY Preview

PlayerOdds
Jerel Worthy+2500
Bruce Irvin+2300
Casey Hayward+1600
Chandler Jones+1200
Courtney Shaw+1200
Dont'a Hightower+1000
Dontari Poe+1600
Dre Kirkpatrick+1000
Fletcher Cox +1100
Harrison Smith+1500
Janoris Jenkins+1500
Luke Kuechly+500
Mark Barron+1200
Melvin Ingram+2000
Michael Brockers+2000
Morris Claiborne+650
Mychal Kendricks+1500
Nick Perry+1200
Quiton Coples+1800
Stephon Gilmore+1600
Field+600

Since the year 2000 LB’s have dominated the NFL Defensive ROY Award. A total of 10 LB’s has won the award since 2000. In the past 12 seasons the only two non LB’s to win the award include DT Ndamukong Suh (2002) and DE Julius Peppers (2010). With so many linebackers winning the award it’s likely that this year’s NFL Defensive ROY will also be a LB.

Luke Kuechly +500: Kuechly was drafted by the Panthers and was very impressive in week 1 of the preseason. Kuechly had four tackles including three tackles in a row against the Texans. He also forced a fumble by Foster and if he continues his great play into the regular season he’s a name that we’re going to be hearing about on ESPN.

Morris Claiborne +650: Claiborne was drafted at CB by the Dallas Cowboys and he’s expected to be a shutdown corner. He was a great CB with LSU and I think he’ll be great in the NFL. However, the last time a CB won the NFL Defensive ROY award was in 1998 when Charles Woodson won the award with the Oakland Raiders. For this reason I’ll pass on Claiborne at only +650 odds.

Dont’a Hightower +1000: Hightower is a LB who was drafted by the Patriots. New England needs some help on defence and in my opinion Dont’a should have a great season. LB’s have a huge edge in the NFL Defensive ROY Award in recent years, which is another reason why Hightower stands out to me this season if you’re looking for a bit more value than Kuechly.

The field bet at BetOnline is also paying +600 right now and that might be a good option. There are several 1st round picks that aren’t listed in the NFL Defensive ROY market that could win the award in 2012. This futures bet is a fun market to bet on, but don’t wager too much of your bankroll because trying to predict who will win this award is very difficult.

  • 2012 NFL Defensive ROY Winner: Luke Kuechly +500
About The Author

has written 63 awesome posts on tipsandpicks.com.

Scott primarily focuses on the US sports at Tips and Picks and he spends most of his time analyzing the betting markets to ensure bettors always get the best odds