2012 NFL Week 12 Odds, Picks & Previews

by Scott

My picks last week went 9-4 and that brings my overall record on the year up to 88-64-4. The goal is to have hit 60% by the end of the season, which would be pretty good in my opinion. I still have a bit of work to do in order to reach that goal. This week there is a full slate of NFL action again including three games on Thursday since its Thanksgiving Day in the United States.

Houston Texans -3 (-116) vs. Detroit Lions +3 (+107) – Pick: Texans -3

Houston is looking great in the AFC South at 9-1, but I still expect them to show up to play on Thursday. The Texans fans are very excited to finally get a chance to watch Houston on TD and the Texans should win. Detroit has struggled this season and I think the Texans will be ale to run the football to victory with Foster. Schaub won’t be needed as much this week as last week.

Washington Redskins +3 (+100) vs. Dallas Cowboys -3 (-120) – Pick: Redskins +3

Both teams won last week, but the Redskins did so in much more impressive fashion. The Cowboys barely escaped at home last week against the Browns in OT and I have a hard time seeing them winning this game. Washington had a great game last week against the Eagles and I expect the Redskins run game to earn them a victory, as the Cowboys have had troubles against the run.

New England Patriots -7 (-110) vs. New York Jets +7 (-110) – Pick: Jets +7

Jets kept it close (29-26) on the road against the Pats in week 7, so I expect them to do the same this week. The Pats have been putting up big numbers the last few weeks on offense, but the Jets defense should be able to keep Brady in check a bit better than some of the recent teams that have played the Patriots. Gronks is also out for the Patriots this week, which will hurt them.

Minnesota Vikings +5 (-110) vs. Chicago Bears -5 (-110) – Pick: Vikings +5

Cutler looks like he’ll play this week, but I don’t expect him to be overly effective. Minnesota is getting +5 points on the road and I think that’s good value based on the Bears offence with a questionable Cutler. The Vikings defense is solid and can stack up the box to stop the run. If Cutler does play the Vikings need to hit him early and often to knock him off his game early on.

Pittsburgh Steelers -1 (-110) vs. Cleveland Browns +1 (-110) – Pick: Steelers -1

Big Ben will miss this week and we seen what happens when he doesn’t play. Leftwich wasn’t horrible last week, but he didn’t get the job done. This week he plays a weaker defense, but the Browns are going to know this is a great shot to beat a rival in the Steelers when they’re injured. The Browns have some young playmakers and I like them at home on the ML this week.

Oakland Raiders +8 (-110) vs. Cincinnati Bengals -8 (-110) – Pick: Raiders +8

The Raiders have been struggling a lot lately and they’ve been blown out the last three weeks. Losing McFadden has been a big hurdle for Oakland and it has put a lot more pressure on Palmer. The Bengals rank 15th against the pass and Palmer should have a good game. The Bengals may cover, but I don’t trust this team to cover big spreads of over a full TD.

Buffalo Bills +3 (-110) vs. Indianapolis Colts -3 (-110) – Pick: Bills +3

Indy had a nice run against some weak teams, but they got blown out by the Patriots last week and before their win streak they had got blown out in week 6 against the Jets (35-9). The Jets aren’t any better than the Bills and after Buffalo got back on track last week with a win on TNF over the Dolphins I expect them to come out on the road and pull off the small upset on Sunday.

Denver Broncos -10.5 (-110) vs. Kansas City Chiefs +10.5 (-110) – Pick: Broncos -10.5

The hook is brutal at -10.5 points, so try and wait to get -10. With spreads this big you always have to watch out for the backdoor cover and getting -10 would be a lot better. The Bengals just dominated the Chiefs at Arrowhead and the Broncos after playing average this past week at home should play better against a weaker Chiefs team that has been in complete disarray.

Tennessee Titans -3 (-120) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars +3 (+100) – Pick: Over 44

The Titans have been horrible defensively this season and the Jaguars offense has been scoring points. Last week the Jags were almost able to beat the Texans, as they put up 37 points. The Titans should be able to score on the Jags defense and this game is one of those games where it could go either way against the spread, but there should be plenty of points in this one.

Atlanta Falcons -1 (-110) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1 (-110) – Pick: Falcons -1

Tampa Bay has been on an incredible run, but the Falcons are a much better team. Atlanta got back on track last week with a win against the Cardinals and I expect them to keep the momentum going this weekend. Tampa Bay has won 4 in a row, but none of those wins were against the top teams in the league and I don’t think the Buccaneers will beat the Falcons.

Seattle Seahawks -3 (-110) vs. Miami Dolphins +3 (-110) – Pick: Seahawks -3

Seattle has won their L2 games against the Vikings and Jets. They now play the Dolphins who haven’t won in 3 games. Miami is getting better, but this season is a complete loss. The Seahawks are in the hunt for the playoffs and they need to win Sunday. I like that the spread is only -3 points and while it feels a bit like a trap I’m going with the road favourite.

Baltimore Ravens -1 (-110) vs. San Diego Chargers +1 (-110) – Pick: Ravens -1

The Chargers were lucky to be in the game last week on the road against the Broncos. The Chargers defence played well early on and I’m sure they will this week, but the Ravens have a consistent offensive attack that wears away at you. The Ravens are the better football team and I think the Chargers will be just about packing it in for the season after watching them last week.

San Francisco 49ers -1.5 (-110) vs. New Orleans Saints +1.5 (-110) – Pick: Saints +1.5

The Saints have been a good home team this season and they need to keep winning football games. The Saints defense is still one of the worst statistically, but they’ve been playing better lately. The 49ers smoked the Bears last week at home, but if the Saints defence keeps playing like they have recently I think the Saints offence will run away with this game at home.

St. Louis Rams +2.5 (-110) vs. Arizona Cardinals -2.5 (-110) – Pick: Cardinals -2.5

The Rams have been solid on the road this season from an ATS standpoint, but this week I think the Cardinals are going to open this game up and blow out the Rams. The Cardinals have had a couple of tough games the L2 weeks against GB and ATL. I think we’ll see a low scoring game where both defences play well, but the Cardinals end up winning a close one by 3-6 pts.

Green Bay Packers +3 (-120) vs. New York Giants -3 (+100) – Pick: Packers +3

NYG has gone just 1-4 ATS at home this season and I don’t think that’ll change this week. The Packers have been winning close games the past few weeks, but I think they may have been looking ahead to this showdown. GB is going to want to get revenge on the Giants from last season and this is their chance. The Packers I think will win this game, but I’m betting the +3 for safety.

Carolina Panthers -2 (-110) vs. Philadelphia Eagles +2 (-110) – Pick: Panthers -2

The Eagles will most likely me missing McCoy and Vick this week, which doesn’t bode well for them. I’m surprised that the line is just -2 points for the Panthers this week on the road. Carolina is actually 3-1 ATS on the road compared to 1-5 ATS at home, so I think this game being on the road favours Carolina. They’ll be playing a depleted Eagles offence that shouldn’t score 10+ points.

About The Author

has written 63 awesome posts on tipsandpicks.com.

Scott primarily focuses on the US sports at Tips and Picks and he spends most of his time analyzing the betting markets to ensure bettors always get the best odds