2012 NFL Week 14 Odds, Picks & Betting Previews

by Scott

Last week I was below .500 again, as I went 7-9 due to a few games being off by a ½ – 1 pt. It was close to being a much better week and that’s what happens some weeks when you’re predicting the entire card. My overall record is now down to 98-84-6 and I definitely need to have a few good weeks to end the regular season, so I can go into the playoffs with some momentum.

Denver Broncos -10 (-110) vs. Oakland Raiders +10 (-110) – Pick: Broncos -10

This is a tough game in my opinion. The Broncos locked up the AFC West, but they still need to battle for home field. Oakland is most likely going to have McFadden back this week in a limited role and the Broncos will be without McGahee. Peyton Manning will have to lead the Broncos like he did in week 4 when they beat Oakland at home (37-6). Thomas will have a big game as well.

Baltimore Ravens +2.5 (-105) vs. Washington Redskins -2.5 (-115) – Pick: Redskins -2.5

The Ravens defense hasn’t stopped much this season, but lately they’ve kept their opponents out of the endzone. The offense has been unable to score points the past few weeks though as well. The Redskins on the other hand have scored 86 pts in their L3 games, which have all been victories. I’d bet the Redskins at -2.5 before it crosses and hits a FG, which I think is likely.

Kansas City Chiefs +5.5 (-110) vs. Cleveland Browns -5.5 (-110) – Pick: Under 37.5

I don’t usually bet totals this low, but I feel the best bet is the U37.5 points in this match-up. The Chiefs are going to run the ball a ton this weekend and I expect the Browns to run a lot as well due to the Chiefs having a T10 passing defense. With both teams running the football and both defenses playing better the past couple weeks I think we’ll see both FG kickers score most points.

Tennessee Titans +5.5 (-110) vs. Indianapolis Colts -5.5 (-110) – Pick: Colts -5.5

The Colts beat the Titans 19-13 in week 8 on the road and I expect them to win this week as well at home. The Colts are in good shape to make the playoffs, but it isn’t a guarantee yet. This is a winnable game at home and they should show up to play. Indy has won 6 of 7 with the only loss against NE. Luck has been playing great as a rookie and Wayne has been a great veteran WR.

San Diego Chargers +6 (-110) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers -6 (-110) – Pick: Steelers -6

SD has been on a rough skid where they’ve lost four games in a row now. Big Ben could be back this week for the Steelers and if he ends up playing Pittsburgh should walk away with this game. Most bookies don’t have a line out, but you can bet -6 at Bwin, which could prove to be good value if Big Ben does suit up. Pittsburgh needs a win this week to stay in the NFL playoff hunt.

New York Jets -2.5 (-115) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5 (-110) – Pick: Jaguars +2.5

I’d wait to see if you can get +3 on the spread, but if not +2.5 is good enough or you could even bet the ML. The Jaguars had a bad game on the road last week against the Bills, but this week at home I think they’ll play much better. Cecil Shorts has been tearing it up and the Jaguars have been putting up some points the last few weeks. Should be low scoring and I like the Jags.

Chicago Bears -3 (+100) vs. Minnesota Vikings +3 (-120) – Pick: Bears +3

The Bears are fighting with the Packers for the NFC North and it could come down to the last week. The Bears are going to do everything they can to win the division and this defense should feast on the Vikings offense. These two played in week 12 and the Bears won 28-10 at home. This game will be closer, as the Vikings are 5-1 at home, but the Bears need to win this game.

Atlanta Falcons -3.5 (+100) vs. Carolina Panthers +3.5 (-120) – Pick: Falcons -3.5

I’d wait to get -3 on this point spread if possible to be on the safer side. The Falcons are still playing tough despite having locked up the division already with an 11-1 record. Carolina couldn’t even beat the lowly Chiefs last week and they’ve been terrible at home (1-5 ATS) this season. If the Falcons want to win this game they win it, but there is always risk that they don’t play 100%.

Philadelphia Eagles +7 (-110) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -7 (-110) – Pick: Buccaneers -7

Tampa Bay has now lost their last two games, but they still have a chance to make the playoffs. The Eagles had a chance to win a game last week against the Cowboys, but they blew a lead in the 4th quarter. Folk has been named the Eagles starting QB for the rest of the season and I don’t think the Eagles are going to win another game this season due to the injuries and lack of depth.

St. Louis Rams +3 (-105) vs. Buffalo Bills -3 (-115) – Pick: Rams +3

This is another tough game that could go either way in my opinion. The Rams are 4-1 ATS on the road this season and Buffalo is playing better football as of late. They just smoked the Jags at home, but the Rams have a much stronger defense. This is going to be a close game, but I like the Rams defense and think they’ll win. At worst we should get a push in a low scoring game.

Dallas Cowboys +3 (+100) vs. Cincinnati Bengals -3 (-120) – Pick: Bengals -3

The Bengals just keep winning games and the Cowboys despite winning last week aren’t in good shape. Dallas had a tough time beating a depleted Eagles team last weekend and the Bengals are one of the top teams right now. Cincinnati can still make in to the playoffs, but they need to continue winning games to have a chance and they’d also need a couple teams to lose.

Miami Dolphins +10 (-110) vs. San Francisco 49ers -10 (-110) – Pick: 49ers -10

The Dolphins shouldn’t score much this week if the 49ers defense shows up to play. The running game will be limited and that’ll put pressure on Tannehill to throw against the tough 49ers secondary. San Fran’s offense needs to start picking it up though if they want to make a run at the Superbowl. As long as the offense scores 21+ pts the 49ers should cover this week.

New Orleans Saints +5 (-110) vs. New York Giants -5 (-110) – Pick: Saints +5

The Saints season is basically over after losing the last two weeks and the schedule doesn’t get easier. The Giants lost last week against the Redskins 17-16 and the Saints offense should keep them in the game. Brees had a terrible game last week and I have a feeling that he’ll play much better this week. This will be a close game and getting +5 points is good value.

Arizona Cardinals +10 (-110) vs. Seattle Seahawks -10 (-110) – Pick: Cardinals +10

Arizona has had a rough season, but they do stay in most of their games. They lost 7-6 last week to the Jets and in week 1 these two teams actually played and the Cardinals won that game 20-16. This should be another low scoring game and I’m surprised to be getting a full +10 points on the spread. The Seahawks are a perfect 5-0 ATS at home, but 10 points is too much in my opinion.

Detroit Lions +6.5 (-110) vs. Green Bay Packers -6.5 (-110) – Pick: Packers -6.5

The Lions can’t seem to buy a win lately. They should have beat the Colts last week, but they ended up losing 35-33 in a shootout where their defense played horribly. The Packers need to win if they want to keep pace with the Bears in the division. GB got a road win last week (23-14) against Minny. In week 11 GB beat the Lions 24-20, but that on the road and not at Lambeau.

Houston Texans +3 (+100) vs. New England Patriots -3 (-120) – Pick: Texans +3

Houston needs to win 1 more game to lock-up the division while the Patriots already locked up the AFC East. NE managed to win last week against Miami (23-16), but they didn’t cover the spread and NE didn’t look great. Gronks is still out and the Texans will have more motivation to win this weekend. The NE defense is still weak and the Texans offense should score plenty of points.

About The Author

has written 63 awesome posts on tipsandpicks.com.

Scott primarily focuses on the US sports at Tips and Picks and he spends most of his time analyzing the betting markets to ensure bettors always get the best odds