2012 NFL Week 17 Odds, Previews & Predictions

by Scott

I hope everyone had a great Christmas this year and an even better New Year. This is the last week of the NFL regular season, so be prepared for some teams to start back-ups and some teams to throw in the towel. My record last week was 9-6-1 and now my overall record on the season is 123-106-7 with just this week left before the NFL Playoffs begin.

New York Jets +3 (+100) vs. Buffalo Bills -3 (-120) – Pick: Bills -3

CJ-Spiller-Week-17In week 1 the Jets dominated the Bills 48-28 at home, but now the Jets are in complete disarray. They had a lead last week when they played the Chargers, but eventually lost 27-17 at home. Buffalo lost 24-10 to the Dolphins last week despite decent offensive numbers. The problem was too many turnovers. If they limit the TO’s this week the Bills should get revenge at home on the Jets.

Miami Dolphins +10 (-110) vs. New England Patriots -10 (-110) – Pick: Dolphins +10

We don’t know whether NE will be using starters in this game yet. If the Texans and Broncos win at 1PM it’s unlikely that NE will start their star players due to the risk of injury. Miami has shown some heart the past two weeks and they’ve picked up two wins due to Reggie Bush getting more touches. They also only lost to NE 23-16 in week 13 at home with Brady playing. Take Miami.

Baltimore Ravens +2.5 vs. Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 (-110) – Pick: Ravens +2.5

The Ravens looked great last week, as they beat the Giants 33-14 at home. Flacco threw for 300+ and Pierce ran for 123 yards. If the offense is rolling again this week the Ravens will dominate, but the question is how long will starters play if at all? Baltimore has the division locked up already, but I’m sure they’ll fight for the best seed possible. BAL also beat CIN 44-13 in week 1.

Houston Texans -6.5 (-115) vs. Indianapolis Colts +6.5 (-105) – Pick: Texans -6.5

Arian-Foster-Week-17Houston was dominated last week by the Vikings (23-6) at home and I expect a better fight this week. They can still lock-up the conference with a win, so I expect the starters to get a lot of work unless the game gets out of hand. In week 15 the Texans beat the Colts 29-17 at home due to Foster rushing for over 150+ yards. Look for the run game to be effective again and HOU covering.

Cleveland Browns +10 (-110) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers -10 (-110) – Pick: Browns +10

Pittsburgh isn’t making the playoffs this year and they’ve been playing poorly the past few weeks. In week 12 the Browns beat the Steelers 20-14 at home. Richardson had 85 yards in that game and the Browns need to get the run game going again. This is going to be a much closer game than the spread indicates in my opinion and I’m definitely betting the Browns at +10 pts.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4 (-110) vs. Atlanta Falcons -4 (-110) – Pick: Falcons -4

The Falcons have already won the NFC and it’s unlikely they’ll risk all of their offensive starters in this game. I’d wait to see who is starting for sure before betting this, but if Ryan does start I’d bet the Falcons. Once they build up a lead they can start to sit some starters and rest them up for the playoffs. The Bucs are playing terribly and have thrown the towel in at this point.

Jacksonville Jaguars +4 (-110) vs. Tennessee Titans -4 (-110) – Pick: Jaguars +4

Justin-Blackmon-Week-17I was surprised that the Jaguars were getting over a FG on the point spread this week. The Titans haven’t been playing that well lately and were just dominated by the Packers. They beat the Jets two weeks ago due to the Jets turning the football over and I don’t expect them to play that well this week with nothing on the line. RB Owens on Jax has a lot to prove and I like the Jags.

Philadelphia Eagles +7 (-108) vs. New York Giants -7 (-112) – Pick: Giants -7

New York needs a lot of luck to make it into the playoffs this season and have a shot at defending their Superbowl title from last season. I expect the G-Men to do their part by beating up on the Eagles this week and covering the spread. The G-Men haven’t looked good the past two weeks, but the Eagles offense is in shambles due to injuries and there is nothing on the line for them.

Dallas Cowboys +3 (+105) vs. Washington Redskins -3 (-125) – Pick: Cowboys +3

You can get the Cowboys at +3.5 (-120) if you want, but I prefer getting plus money at +3. I think Dallas is going to win this week on the road and take the NFC East away from the Redskins. Dallas has looked good the L4 weeks and with everything on the line the Cowboys have more experience and I’m backing them. This should be the best game of the week this Sunday.

Chicago Bears -3 (+100) vs. Detroit Lions +3 (-120) – Pick: Bears -3

Matt-Forte-Week-17This spread is lower than I expected. Chicago won last week, but they didn’t look great against the Cardinals. However, Chicago is still fighting for a spot in the playoffs and the Lions have already thrown the towel in long ago. If the Bears can limit Johnson in this game they’ll easily shutdown the Lions offensively and Forte plus Cutler should do enough damage to beat Detroit.

Green Bay Packers -3.5 (+100) vs. Minnesota Vikings +3.5 (-120) – Pick: Vikings +3.5

Green Bay already won the NFC North and this game doesn’t mean that much to them. Minnesota on the other hand is still in the hunt for a wild card spot in the playoffs if they can win this weekend. Peterson has been beast mode this entire season and GB has had some problems on defense this season. If Peterson plays well this game is going to be very close.

Oakland Raiders +7 (-110) vs. San Diego Chargers -7 (-110) – Pick: Chargers -7

SD had a tough season, but they get to end it with a division game against the Raiders. The Chargers are one of the best teams in the NFL at stopping the run and if they limit McFadden they should cover the TD spread. SD’s defense played well last week against the Jets and they won 27-17. I expect a similar score in this game and I’m backing the home team by -7 pts.

Carolina Panthers +5 (-110) vs. New Orleans Saints -5 (-110) – Pick: Over 54

Drew-Brees-Week-17This is the highest total of the weekend in the NFL at O/U 54, but I still like the over. We have two teams playing great offense to end the season even though neither team is going to make the playoffs this year. I expect the Saints to go out with a bang after a disappointing season and with the way Newton has been moving this offense downfield we should see a lot of points.

Kansas City Chiefs +16 (-110) vs. Denver Broncos -16 (-110) – Pick: Chiefs +16

Denver can still lock-up home field advantage this week, but I think this spread is too high. I can’t bet on favourite this high in the last week of the season. This game isn’t the end of the world for Denver and they may not risk Manning for 4Q’s. Charles has been putting up huge yardage the last few weeks and he put up 107 the 1st time these two played in week 12 (DEN 17 vs. KC 9).

Arizona Cardinals +16.5 (-110) vs. San Francisco 49ers -16.5 (-110) – Pick: Cardinals +16.5

Arizona lost by 15 to the Bears last week and this game will most likely be similar. Kaepernick is playing well, but the Cardinals are a solid defensive team most weeks. Getting +16.5 on Arizona is something you can’t pass up on this weekend. San Fran is going to give it their all because they need a win to lock-up the NFC West, but I doubt they win by 17+ pts.

St. Louis Rams +10.5 (-110) vs. Seattle Seahawks -10.5 (-110) – Pick: Seahawks -10.5

Seattle is heading into the playoffs as the hottest team in the NFL. They’ve been absolutely shredding teams including last week where they smoked their division rivals 49ers 42-13. The Rams shocked me by beating the Bucs last week, but Seattle could still win the NFC West and my money is on Seattle who has been smoking everyone in their path due to Lynch busting off huge runs.

About The Author

has written 52 awesome posts on tipsandpicks.com.

Scott primarily focuses on the US sports at Tips and Picks and he spends most of his time analyzing the betting markets to ensure bettors always get the best odds