Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens Picks, Spread & Review 2012

by Sports Options

The Ravens offence have been one of the best in the NFL this year, but the defence has struggled without Suggs. The Browns had a poor game last week offensively, but I think they bounce back and my best bet in this game is the over 44 points on TNF.

Point Spread: Cleveland Browns +12 (-110) vs. Baltimore Ravens -12 (-110)

Moneyline: Cleveland Browns +475 vs. Baltimore Ravens -650

Game Total: Over 44 (-110) vs. Under 44 (-110)

Cleveland remained winless last week following a 24-14 home loss to Buffalo as +2½ point underdogs. Brandon Weeden completed 27-of-43 passes for 237 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions and was also sacked four times for -30 yards.

Fellow rookie Trenton Richardson also had a tough time, as he managed just 27 yards on 12 carries with a touchdown for the Browns, who fell to 0-3 for the fifth time in the last seven seasons. Richardson also caught six passes for 24 yards.

Cleveland was outgained 344-240 in total yards and converted just 3-of-10 on third down. The Browns, who are one of the youngest teams in the league, opened up the season with a 17-16 loss at home to Philadelphia and lost 34-27 in Cincinnati in Week #2, in which they showed some signs of promise, gaining 439 yards of offense against the Bengals.

With their latest setback, Cleveland has now lost nine straight games dating back to last season. Baltimore prevailed last week as the Ravens knocked off New England in 31-30 home win as -2½ point favorites.

Joe Flacco completed 28-of 39 passes for 382 yards with three touchdowns and an interception, while Ray Rice carried the ball 20 times for 101 yards and a score for Baltimore (2-1), which lost the AFC Championship to New England last year after former kicker Billy Cundiff missed a 32-yard chip shot that would’ve forced overtime.

This time, undrafted rookie kicker Justin Tucker made a game-winning 27-yard field as time expired to give the Ravens the victory. Torrey Smith, who lost his brother to a tragic motorcycle accident earlier in the day, finished with six receptions for 127 yards with two scores.

The Ravens outgained the Patriots, 503-396, but they were penalized 14 times for 135 yards in the win. Baltimore opened the season with a 44-13 home win over Cincinnati and followed that up with a 24-23 loss at Philadelphia in Week #2.

Baltimore won both meetings last year against Cleveland, 24-10, on the road as -7 point favs in early December and 20-14 at home as -12½ point chalks on Christmas Eve. Cleveland is 4-2 ATS as a double-digit underdog, but only 9-17 ATS when playing with five days or less of rest and 9-19-1 ATS following an ATS loss and 3-7-2 ATS in September games.

Baltimore is 4-8 ATS against losing teams, but the Ravens are 5-1-1 ATS vs. AFC North teams, 12-4 ATS in Week #4 and 13-5 ATS following an ATS loss.

Baltimore is also 11-4 ATS in September games, but 0-4 ATS as a division fav of -7 or more points. The road team is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings; and Cleveland is on a 7-2-1 ATS run and the Browns are 5-1 ATS as double-digit underdogs.

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