Green Bay Vs Kansas City


GREEN BAY at KANSAS CITY
Green Bay routed Oakland last week in a 46-16 home win as -12 point favorites. Aaron Rodgers passed for two touchdowns and Ryan Grant ran for two more, as the undefeated Packers rolled to a bittersweet win over the Raiders. Green Bay’s 19th straight win – the second longest streak in NFL history – was marred when Greg Jennings went down with a knee injury in the third quarter. With the win, the NFC North-champion Packers became the second defending Super Bowl champion to start the following season 13-0. Green Bay also clinched a first-round bye in the playoffs. Rodgers threw for 281 yards with an interception on 17-of-30 passing in less than three quarters, while Grant added 85 yards on 10 carries. Green Bay ended with a 391-355 edge in total offense and won the turnover battle, 5-1. The Packers also set a franchise record with 466 points, topping the previous record of 461 points in 2009. Rodgers has at least two touchdown passes in every game this season, though his streak of 12 straight games with a 100-plus QB rating came to an end (96.7).

Kansas City is off a 37-10 loss at the Jets as +10½ point underdogs. Tyler Palko finished with 195 yards, one touchdown and an interception on 16-of-32 passing for Kansas City (5-8), which hasn’t scored more than 10 points in any of its last six games. Palko was sacked five times in a miserable outing by the penalty-plagued Chiefs (5-8) a week after the quarterback earned his first victory as a starter at Chicago. He was 3-of-8 for 11 yards in the first half, sacked three times, and the Chiefs had 4 total yards and one first down, compared to the Jets’ 16. Palko had a much better second half, finishing 16-of-32 for 195 yards and a touchdown and an interception. The Chiefs lost all four games against the AFC East this season and were outscored by 30 points per game in those games. In their other nine games this year, they were outscored by 1.3 points per game. KC ended with 221 total yards against the Jets and had 11 penalties for 128 yards in the ugly loss.

This is the first meeting since a 33-22 win by the Packers in Arrowhead in 2007. Green Bay is on a current 33-16 ATS run and 13-5 ATS against losing teams, as well as 26-14 ATS as a favorite and 16-7 ATS when facing AFC West teams. KC is 12-4 ATS as a double-digit underdog, but note the Packers are 14-3 ATS as a favorite after scoring 35 or more points in their previous game and 9-2 ATS in December games. Has to be Green Bay in this one as they continue their march toward perfection, but we don’t advocate laying over two TDs on the road in the NFL.

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