NFL Week 5 Picks: Saints & Browns 0-4 to Start Season

by Scott

Last week my predictions went 9-4-1 and now my overall record this season is 35-24-3. It was a solid week for me finally after a few weeks where I was barely profitable after juice. This week I’ll be looking to keep the run going and have posted my picks for each of the games below. Last week I only predicted 14 games, as the Vikings vs. Lions line was released too late.

2012 NFL Week 5 Point Spread Odds

Away TeamAway SpreadHome SpreadHome TeamOver/Under
Away TeamAway SpreadHome SpreadHome TeamOver/Under
Arizona Cardinals-1 (-109)+1 (+101)St. Louis RamsO/U 38.5
Atlanta Falcons-3 (-104)+3 (-104)Washington RedskinsO/U 50.5
Philadelphia Eagles+3.5 (-108)-3.5 (+100)Pittsburgh SteelersO/U 44
Green Bay Packers-7 (+104)+7 (-113) Indianapolis ColtsO/U 47.5
Cleveland Browns+10 (-110)-10 (-110)New York GiantsO/U 44
Tennessee Titans+5 (-110)-5 (-110)Minnesota VikingsO/U 44
Miami Dolphins+4.5 (-104)-4.5 (-104)Cincinnati BengalsO/U 45
Baltimore Ravens-4.5 (-104)+4.5 (-104)Kansas City ChiefsO/U 46.5
Seattle Seahawks+3 (-104)-3 (-104)Carolina PanthersO/U 43
Chicago Bears-5.5 (-104)+5.5 (-104)Jacksonville JaguarsO/U 40
Denver Broncos+7 (-110)-7 (-110)New England PatriotsO/U 51.5
Buffalo Bills+9.5 (-110)-9.5 (-110)San Francisco 49ersO/U 44.5
San Diego Chargers+3.5 (-110)-3.5 (-110)New Orleans SaintsO/U 54
Houston Texans-9 (+105)+9 (-115)New York JetsO/U 41

2012 NFL Week 5 Predictions

Arizona Cardinals -1 (-109) vs. St. Louis Rams +1 (+101) – Pick: Cardinals -1

The Arizona Cardinals are 4-0 after pulling out a comeback OT win last week against Miami. The Rams upset the Seahawks last week in a divisional game and now they host the Cardinals. The Rams are now 2-0 at home, but I expect them to lose. Arizona is going to be able to force turnovers and Ryan Williams should run the ball better against a weak Rams run defence.

Atlanta Falcons -3 (-104) vs. Washington Redskins +3 (-104) – Pick: Redskins +3

The Redskins just beat the Bucs in week 4 and how host the 4-0 Falcons. Atlanta barely beat the Panthers at home this week and now they need to play the high powered Redskins on the road. Washington has the #1 ranked rushing offence and Atlanta’s 29th ranked rushing defence is going to have problems containing the run game. I’m taking the home dog here at +3 this week.

Philadelphia Eagles +3.5 (-108) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 (+100) – Pick: Eagles +3.5

Pittsburgh offence has been brutal to begin the year and the bye week was much needed for this team. The Eagles are fresh off of their division win over the Giants in week 4 on primetime. The Eagles have one of the best offences and they didn’t turn the football over this past week, which was important. I expect the Eagles to shutdown Big Ben and the Steelers offence as well.

Green Bay Packers -7 (+104) vs. Indianapolis Colts +7 (-113) – Pick: Packers -7

The Packers won a close game against the Saints that they could have easily lost. The Colts had a bye week to prepare for GB in this week 5 match-up, but I don’t think it helps them. The Colts have had a tough time scoring and the Packers won’t have much of a problem scoring on the Colts defence, which has struggled. I expect the Packers to lock this one up early in Indianapolis.

Cleveland Browns +10 (-110) vs. New York Giants -10 (-110) – Pick: Browns +10

I’m going back to the well with the Browns as a big underdog here even though they’re on the road. Cleveland has had a bit of extra time to prepare for this game, as they last played Thursday against the Ravens. The Giants haven’t been hit or miss thus far offensively and this could be a game they overlook on the schedule. I’m taking the Browns to keep this one close to the end.

Tennessee Titans +5 (-110) vs. Minnesota Vikings -5 (-110) – Pick: Vikings -5

The Vikings are 3-1 and have been a nice surprise in the NFC North this year. They just knocked off the Lions on the road and now they get to play the Titans. It’s unclear whether Locker can start after his shoulder popped out this past week. Hasselbeck didn’t look good against Houston and if he starts it could be an ugly game. I think the Vikings continue their good play and cover ATS.

Miami Dolphins +4.5 (-104) vs. Cincinnati Bengals -4.5 (-104) – Pick: Bengals -4.5

I’m betting on the Bengals at home in this game to cover the spread. The Bengals won comfortably on the road in what could have been a trap game this past week. The Dolphins suffered a demoralizing loss in OT to the Cardinals in week 4 and I think that will hurt this team until their bye week. Bush still isn’t 100% and if the Bengals can shutdown Tannehill they’ll win this one easily.

Baltimore Ravens -4.5 (-104) vs. Kansas City Chiefs +4.5 (-104) – Pick: Over 45.5

In this match-up I bet on the over 45.5 points. The Chiefs have allowed a ton of points this season and the Ravens should be able to move the football without much problem this week. The Chiefs played poorly last week with tons of turnovers and still put up 20 points. I think this game has the potential to have 50-60 points this week and I’ll definitely be on the over.

Seattle Seahawks +3 (-104) vs. Carolina Panthers -3 (-104) – Pick: Panthers -3

Carolina lost a heartbreaker last week to the Falcons on the road and now has to get things together for a home game against the Seahawks. I thought the Seahawks would be a bit better than they are, but they’re overrated in my opinion now. Seattle had a horrible road game last week against the Rams and I expect them to have another bad game against the desperate Panthers.

Chicago Bears -5.5 (-104) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars +5.5 (-104) – Pick: Bears -5.5

The Chicago Bears had a dominating win on MNF yesterday and now they have a short week to prepare for a road game against the Jags. The Jags were just smoked at home by the Bengals and the Bears should be able to cover here. Their defence has been great this season and Forte is back now. Marshall also had a big game last night and hopefully he can keep it rolling this week.

Denver Broncos +7 (-110) vs. New England Patriots -7 (-110) – Pick: Broncos +7

The Broncos are on the road this week after smoking the Raiders, but they need to take on the Patriots who opened up the Bills in the 2nd half last week. The Broncos should be able to play better defence than the Bills did and I expect this one to stay within the point spread. Manning has been better the past couple weeks and this will be a big game for him against Tom Brady.

Buffalo Bills +9.5 (-110) vs. San Francisco 49ers -9.5 (-110) – Pick: Over 44

I’m going with another total because the spread is going to be close in this game I think. The Bills and 49ers have both scored a lot of points and the Bills have also allowed a lot of points. I expect the 49ers defence to bend a bit this week and the Bills will be able to put up some points. The 49ers should score plenty at home against the Bills and the over should hit early in the 4th.

San Diego Chargers +3.5 (-110) vs. New Orleans Saints -3.5 (-110) – Pick: Chargers +3.5

The Chargers just went into Arrowhead and dominated the Chiefs on both sides of the football. The Saints are still struggling and their defence can’t stop anything. They may win a close win to get their first win, but I like the Chargers getting over a FG on the point spread. This spread could drop this week, so I’d bet on the Chargers +3.5 while you still can if you agree with the pick.

Houston Texans -9 (+105) vs. New York Jets +9 (-115) – Pick: Jets +9

The Jets host the Texans on MNF this week and I’m on the Jets getting +9 points. They were just shutout and humiliated by the 49ers this past week and now they play a tough Texans team. Expect Ryan to have his team ready to stop the run. Losing Revis hurts this team, but I expect the Jets to play much tougher this week at home and therefore I’m on them at +9 in primetime.

About The Author

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Scott primarily focuses on the US sports at Tips and Picks and he spends most of his time analyzing the betting markets to ensure bettors always get the best odds

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