Oakland vs Kansas City


Oakland is off a 28-27 home loss to Detroit as +2½ point home dogs. Carson Palmer connected on 32-of-40 passes for 367 yards and a touchdown in the loss for the Raiders, who remained one game back of Denver in the AFC West after the Broncos lost to the Patriots. The Raiders appeared in control of the game when Aaron Curry returned a fumble 6 yards for a touchdown to make the score 27-14 with 7:47 remaining in the fourth quarter, but the defense gave up two TDs in the final moments. Oakland had a chance to win the game on the final play, but Sebastian Janikowski’s 65-yard attempt was blocked by Ndamukong Suh to end the game. The Raiders (7-7) have lost three straight and will need help to end their eight-year playoff drought. Oakland trails Denver by one game in the AFC West and is also a game behind the New York Jets and Cincinnati in the wild-card race.

Kansas City is coming off an improbable 19-14 home win over previously undefeated Green Bay as +12 point dogs. Kyle Orton threw for 299 yards to outduel Aaron Rodgers, and the Kansas City Chiefs rallied behind interim coach Romeo Crennel for a shocking win over the Packers. Crennel, the Chiefs’ defensive coordinator, decided to bench Tyler Palko in favor of Orton, who was claimed off waivers from Denver in November. He had thrown one pass for the Chiefs and missed time because of a finger injury, but completed 23-of-31 passes against Green Bay’s defense. The Chiefs used at least five defensive backs on 86.0 percent of the Packers’ plays and it worked out well against Green Bay’s previously-unstoppable passing attack. The Chiefs had a 438-315 edge in total offense and looked like the better team the entire game.

This is a revenge game for the Raiders, who were embarrassed in a 28-0 home loss to the Chiefs back on October 23rd. Oakland was a -3½ point favorite in that one. Palmer threw three interceptions in his season debut, after starter Kyle Boller also threw three picks. Kansas City’s previous biggest road win over the Raiders was 32-10 in 1966. KC is 3-12-1 ATS as a home favorite, while Oakland is 24-46 ATS in December. The Raiders are also 16-35-1 ATS against losing teams, but the underdog is 18-7-1 ATS when these two teams meet and the road team is a stellar 20-5-1 ATS. Also note the underdog is on a 10-2 ATS run in KC games and Oakland is 9-2 ATS in division games.

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