San Diego Chargers vs. New Orleans Saints Predictions Week 5 2012

by Scott

The Saints will win a game soon, but I don’t think it’s this week. The Chargers will want to win this game against a quality team and the Chargers have been looking good all season. The Saints defence is nonexistent and I’m taking the underdog at +3.5 pts.

Point Spread: San Diego Chargers +3.5 (-110) vs. New Orleans Saints -3.5 (-110)

Moneyline: San Diego Chargers +165 vs. New Orleans Saints -190

Game Total: Over 54 (-110) vs. Under 54 (-110)

San Diego is off a 37-20 win at Kansas City as -2½ road favorites. Philip Rivers was 18-of-23 passing for 209 yards with two touchdowns and Antonio Gates had three catches for 59 yards for the Chargers (3-1), who bounced back from a 27-3 home loss to Atlanta and improved to 2-0 in the AFC West.

Jackie Battle had one receiving touchdown and ran for a score in the win for the Chargers, who opened up the season with back-to-back wins over Oakland (22-14) and Tennessee (38-10).

San Diego was outgained 353-293 in total offense, but the Chargers had a decisive 6-1 edge in turnovers and converted those six KC turnovers into 24 points. Rivers was making his 100th career start and surpassed the 25,000-yard passing mark, while improving to 9-4 against the Chiefs.

New Orleans continued their early-season slide last week with a tough 28-27 loss at Green Bay as +8 point road dogs. Drew Brees completed 35-of-54 passes for 446 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions for the winless Saints (0-4), which were coming off a 27-24 OT home loss to Kansas City the previous week.

Brees tied Johnny Unitas’ NFL record for consecutive games with a touchdown pass (47) with his score to Marques Colston in the first quarter. Colston had nine receptions for 153 yards for New Orleans, which has dropped four straight to begin a season for the first time since 2007.

New Orleans had a 474-421 edge in total offense, although they were called for 10 penalties for 72 yards. New Orleans opened the season with a 40-32 home loss to Washington and lost 35-27 at Carolina in Week #2.

San Diego is 23-9 ATS when playing in a dome and 6-0 ATS vs. losing teams, but just 2-9 ATS against NFC teams as of late. New Orleans is 19-7 ATS against winning teams, 13-6 ATS at home and 16-8 ATS when playing in a dome.

The Saints are also 18-8 ATS off a SU loss and 11-3 ATS as a favorite of -3 points or less, but only 1-9-1 ATS in Week # 5. As for the total, the “over” is 33-14-1 in SD’s last 51 road games and 38-16-1 in NO’s last 55 games following an ATS win.

About The Author

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Scott primarily focuses on the US sports at Tips and Picks and he spends most of his time analyzing the betting markets to ensure bettors always get the best odds

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