Australian Open early Betting Tips 2013

by faststeady

australian-open-2013The Tennis circuit moves to Australia in January as the 2013 season gets underway after what can only be said one of the most interesting and tightly contested years on the tour in recent memory in 2012.

This article is a mix of a few tennis betting tips and general information on the Aussie Open. Being the start of the tennis season we’ve included a bit of a recap of last year as well.

Its my home tournament that I attend every year, so I’ll be covering it in depth, particularly from a betting perspective.I turnover more betting tennis than any other sport, so be sure to bookmark us or follow us on twitter where we’ll be particularly active tweeting any betting moves that you can take advantage of.

AUSTRALIAN OPEN INTRODUCTION:

 
Straight after Christmas, players from both the womens and mens tour begin their 2013 campaigns in lead-up tournaments held in a number of Australian cities, culminating with the first Grand Slam of the year, The Australian Open beginning on January 14th at Melbourne Park and coming to a conclusion with the mens final on January 27th.

At the end of last season, Novak Djokovic was crowned Number 1 on the mens side and Victoria Azarenka on top of the womens tour. Both set off their 2013 campaigns defending the full 2,000 points in the rankings as last years Australian Open Champions.

RankNamePoints
1Djokovic, Novak12,920
2Federer, Roger10,265
3Murray, Andy8,000
4Nadal, Rafael6,690
5Ferrer, David6,505
RankNamePoints
1Azarenka, Victoria10,595
2Sharavova, Maria10,045
3Williams, Serena9,400
4Radwanska, Agnieszka7,425
5Kerber, Angelique5,550

azarenka-number-one-wtaAs you can see, both Djokovic and Azarenka beat off too old hands and rejuvenated players in Roger Federer and Maria Sharapova respectively over the full season last year.

Interestingly, Azarenka beat an in form Sharapova in last years Australian Open final and had the result gone the other way , Maria would have been number one.

At last years Aussie Open, Djokovic beat Nadal in an amazing and epic match that lasted close to 6 hours of perfect tennis and provided the perfect platform for a fantastic season.

Unfortunately Rafa got injured through the year and has taken his time to prepare for this season, so it will be interesting to see how he looks in the leadup tournaments.

The Sportsbooks currently have Nadal 4th on the line of betting at 7.50, so if he’s fit there is definitely some value to be had getting on Nadal at that line, as you can be sure it will shorten once he plays a few games leading up to the Open.

NameOdds
N. Djokovic 2.25
A. Murray3.25
R. Federer5.50
R. Nadal7.50
J.M. Del Potro17.00
J-W. Tsonga26.00
NameOdds
S. Williams2.40
V. Azarenka4.20
M. Sharapova8.00
P. Kvitova10.00
N. Li17.00
A. Kerber19.00

THE WEATHER CONDITIONS:

 
thermometerLate January is generally one of the hottest times of the year in Melbourne, and quite often heat can play a factor in the results of many matches. This year will be no different as the forecast in Melbourne this January is for a very hot summer, with temperatures running in the high 30’s up to the mid 40 degrees celsius.

Court temperatures, particularly in the grandstand arena’s will be in the 50’s for sure, so you can bet these conditions will have a bearing on who goes deep in the tournament, with scheduling of matches adding a bit of luck into the mix.

TIP : Keep an eye on what conditions each player has had to contend with in previous rounds as the tournament progresses. It makes a difference.

THE SURFACE AND SCHEDULE:

 
The Australian Open is played on a Plexicusion hardcourt, similar to the US Open, although with a bit more give in the ground and a tendancy to be quicker the hotter it is.

For this reason, it doesn’t really favour any particular style under normal conditions, although when its cooler the backline players have a bit more time to move the ball around, and in the hotter conditions, the serve volley’ers probably have a minor advantage, but overall the actual surface condition has a marginal influence on the match.

It’s probably the most neutral of all the surfaces the grand slams are played on, and offers a bit for every style of player.

Match schedules can have a bigger bearing on results at the Australian Open than at say Wimbledon or the French Opens for example.

Melbourne Park has lead the way with scheduling, being a leader in expanding its main courts to include retractable roofing for inclement weather and the ability to be able to schedule the tournament with both day and night sessions.

The night schedule usually has a main womens and main mens match up on court and quite often, the last match can go to the early hours of the morning.

I’ve left Melbourne Park as late as 3am myself and seen the winning player have to back up less than 24 hours later after a long 5-setter, only to lose through not having the recovery times his opponent may have had. Happens quite often when the day session goes longer than planned.

TIP: Keep an eye on a players schedule before you back them, it’s a factor here.

MY EARLY AUSTRALIAN OPEN BETTING TIPS:

 
ATP - I’m having some early money on Rafael Nadal @ 7.50 and Jo Wilfred Tsonga at around 26.00

Tsongo-primed-for-2013I think both Rafa and Tsonga are overs at the moment. Having said that, with a question mark over Nadal’s fitness being out of action for so long the bookies are prepared to hang him out a bit.

On the other hand, he got to the top by his work ethic when Roger was dominating, so I’m prepared to back his comeback and back him at overs at 7.50. To me, he shortens from that as the tournament gets closer and through the early rounds, so you can trade out for a decent profit or take the value now.

Tsonga has a great record both at the Australian Open and early in the ATP tour season. He’ll be seeded well to get through the early rounds so the 26’s on offer at the moment look overs and good to me.

WTA – I see value in backing Sharapova at around 8.00 and Li Na at 17’s.

Maria-Sharapova-good-value-Australian-Open-2013Li Na is an up and comer, she got to the final a few years ago and is an early season bolter. Being the closest open to China, she’ll have a solid following in Melbourne and will have that extra motivation and confidence to go deep again this year.

I backed Sharapova hard last year before and during the tournament for a nice collect and are happy to be on her again at those odds this early in the piece. Obviously Serena and Azarenka will go deep, but they are too short for my liking at the moment and the value is definitely with the two I’ve mentioned.

Over the next few days I will be expanding on this article so stay tuned.

About The Author

has written 95 awesome posts on tipsandpicks.com.

faststeady has been a professional sports bettor for the past decade and focusses on non-US sports here at tipsandpicks.com